Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Study: The Future of the Druzhba Pipeline

The International Institute of Political Science (IIPS) at Masaryk University in Brno (Czech Republic) has recently released a new study which focuses on the future of oil supply through the Central Europe via the Druzhba pipeline. It explores threats endangering this supply route and potential cooperation between the CE countries. 

The English study "The Future of the Druzhba Pipeline as a Strategic Challenge for the Czech Republic and Poland" is the result of a one year long work within a research grant of the Czech-Polish Forum. It answers following questions: 

- Is there a danger of curtailment of the supply of oil via Druzhba to the surveyed countries?
- If so, what might be the mid-term implications of such situation?
- What is the possible position of the EU in solving this issue?
- Which actors would be affected by potential supply curtailment and how?

Proposed linking project of Bratislava Schwechat Pipeline  (BSP) is considered as one of the diversification routes which would expand the existing Russian pipeline network to Austria.

„For Austria it is an important diversification project, since Austria is currently supplied only by TAL (Transalpine Pipeline) and AWP (Adria-Wien Pipeline). The Slovaks perceive this pipeline as an essential project aiming to enhance the country’s energy security“ the study reads.

The study also provides an answer to the question whether Russia can possibly misuse oil supplies to put pressure on its customers, examines the state of the oil sectors in the Czech Republic and Poland, including position of the key players.

The current state and future development of infrastructure is also examined as well as an evaluation of Russian oil sector, including the analysis of recoverable reserves and export preferences. 

The study is available here.

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